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2024-12-14 00:52:16

Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.South Korean President Yin Xiyue appeared in the office on Thursday for the first time in five days.


The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.Thirteen people were killed when Israeli forces attacked the southern and northern parts of the Gaza Strip. On the 12th, local time, the reporter of the General Station learned from the Palestinian side that Israeli forces bombed Rafah, a city in the southern part of the Gaza Strip, killing seven people and injuring many others. According to medical staff in Rafah, seven dead people were attacked while protecting a rescue truck that arrived in the city. In addition, the Israeli army bombed a residential building west of Gaza City in the northern Gaza Strip, killing six people. (CCTV)


Market News: Australia and Papua New Guinea sign bilateral security agreement.The Embassy of China in Sudan once again reminds China citizens not to go to Sudan for the time being, and to leave the Sudan as soon as possible if there is no necessary reason. Recently, air strikes and shelling incidents have occurred frequently in Sudan, causing a large number of civilian casualties and the overall security risks remain high. The Embassy in Sudan once again reminded China citizens not to go to Sudan in the near future, and suggested that citizens in China should leave the country as soon as possible if there is no need to stay in the country.Market news: Australia will punish technology giants who don't pay for news.

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